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Ajax – AZ Alkmaar

Eredivisie · October 18, 2025

Ajax 0–2 AZ Alkmaar

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Ajax 51% X · 23% 2 · AZ Alkmaar 26%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score62%
Expected goals1.89 – 1.28
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 18, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.