Ajax – Excelsior
Eredivisie · November 22, 2025
Ajax
1–2
Excelsior
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Ajax 81%
X · 12%
2 · Excelsior 7%
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Expected goals | 2.97 – 0.79 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
November 22, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.