Ajax – Excelsior
Eredivisie · September 19, 2026
Ajax
2–2
Excelsior
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Ajax 68%
X · 19%
2 · Excelsior 13%
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Expected goals | 2.42 – 0.97 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
September 19, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.