Certor

Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles

Eredivisie · January 17, 2026

Ajax 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Ajax 67% X · 18% 2 · Go Ahead Eagles 15%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals2.42 – 1.06
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 17, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.