Certor

Ajax – Groningen

Eredivisie · October 6, 2024

Ajax 3–1 Groningen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Ajax 78% X · 15% 2 · Groningen 7%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals2.87 – 0.85
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 5, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.