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Ajax – Heerenveen

Eredivisie · November 5, 2023

Ajax 4–1 Heerenveen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Ajax 80% X · 13% 2 · Heerenveen 7%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals3.03 – 0.89
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 4, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.