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Ajax – Heerenveen

Eredivisie · August 16, 2026

Ajax 2–2 Heerenveen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Ajax 66% X · 20% 2 · Heerenveen 14%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals2.33 – 0.99
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 16, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.