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Ajax – NAC Breda

Eredivisie · April 6, 2025

Ajax 3–1 NAC Breda

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Ajax 80% X · 14% 2 · NAC Breda 6%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals2.75 – 0.69
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 5, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.