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Ajax – Nijmegen

Eredivisie · February 21, 2026

Ajax 1–1 Nijmegen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Ajax 58% X · 20% 2 · Nijmegen 22%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Both teams to score68%
Expected goals2.32 – 1.37
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 21, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.