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Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam

Eredivisie · March 14, 2026

Ajax 4–0 Sparta Rotterdam

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Ajax 62% X · 22% 2 · Sparta Rotterdam 16%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals2.04 – 0.94
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 14, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.