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Ajax – Waalwijk

Eredivisie · January 21, 2024

Ajax 4–1 Waalwijk

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Ajax 82% X · 12% 2 · Waalwijk 6%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals3.20 – 0.85
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 19, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.