Certor

Ajax – Zwolle

Eredivisie · September 13, 2025

Ajax 3–1 Zwolle

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Ajax 73% X · 17% 2 · Zwolle 10%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals2.47 – 0.83
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 13, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.