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Alaves – Ath Bilbao

La Liga · May 2, 2026

Alaves 2–4 Ath Bilbao

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Alaves 33% X · 30% 2 · Ath Bilbao 37%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals1.00 – 1.09
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 1, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.