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Alaves – Ath Madrid

La Liga · April 21, 2024

Alaves 2–0 Ath Madrid

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Alaves 19% X · 27% 2 · Ath Madrid 54%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals0.76 – 1.50
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 19, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.