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Alaves – Ath Madrid

La Liga · August 30, 2025

Alaves 1–1 Ath Madrid

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Alaves 22% X · 28% 2 · Ath Madrid 50%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals0.83 – 1.39
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 29, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.