Certor

Alaves – Betis

La Liga · January 25, 2026

Alaves 2–1 Betis

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Alaves 31% X · 29% 2 · Betis 40%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals1.02 – 1.21
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 23, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.