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Alaves – Elche

La Liga · October 5, 2025

Alaves 3–1 Elche

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Alaves 48% X · 30% 2 · Elche 22%
Over 2.5 goals31%
Both teams to score37%
Expected goals1.22 – 0.73
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 3, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.