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Alaves – Real Madrid

La Liga · December 21, 2023

Alaves 0–1 Real Madrid

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Alaves 13% X · 21% 2 · Real Madrid 66%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals0.76 – 1.98
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 15, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.