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Alaves – Real Madrid

La Liga · April 13, 2025

Alaves 0–1 Real Madrid

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Alaves 15% X · 22% 2 · Real Madrid 63%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals0.85 – 1.97
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 11, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.