Alaves – Real Madrid
La Liga · December 14, 2025
Alaves
1–2
Real Madrid
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Alaves 15%
X · 22%
2 · Real Madrid 63%
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Expected goals | 0.83 – 1.91 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
December 12, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.