Certor

Almere City – Ajax

Eredivisie · March 2, 2025

Almere City 0–1 Ajax

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Almere City 8% X · 17% 2 · Ajax 75%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals0.70 – 2.42
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 1, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.