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Almeria – Real Madrid

La Liga · August 19, 2023

Almeria 1–3 Real Madrid

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Almeria 14% X · 17% 2 · Real Madrid 69%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Both teams to score63%
Expected goals1.14 – 2.63
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 18, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.