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Almeria – Villarreal

La Liga · April 21, 2024

Almeria 1–2 Villarreal

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Almeria 31% X · 23% 2 · Villarreal 46%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score65%
Expected goals1.49 – 1.83
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 19, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.