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Alverca – Benfica

Primeira Liga · August 31, 2025

Alverca 1–2 Benfica

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Alverca 4% X · 8% 2 · Benfica 88%
Over 2.5 goals80%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals0.70 – 3.55
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 30, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.