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Alverca – Famalicao

Primeira Liga · January 4, 2026

Alverca 1–0 Famalicao

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Alverca 27% X · 26% 2 · Famalicao 47%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals1.03 – 1.44
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 3, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.