Alverca – Nacional
Primeira Liga · December 7, 2025
Alverca
1–0
Nacional
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Alverca 47%
X · 25%
2 · Nacional 28%
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Expected goals | 1.51 – 1.10 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
December 5, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.