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Alverca – Porto

Primeira Liga · December 22, 2025

Alverca 0–3 Porto

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Alverca 11% X · 18% 2 · Porto 71%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score40%
Expected goals0.63 – 2.06
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 20, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.