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Alverca – Rio Ave

Primeira Liga · November 8, 2025

Alverca 1–1 Rio Ave

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Alverca 35% X · 25% 2 · Rio Ave 40%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.30 – 1.39
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 7, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.