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Alverca – Santa Clara

Primeira Liga · February 21, 2026

Alverca 1–1 Santa Clara

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Alverca 35% X · 28% 2 · Santa Clara 37%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Both teams to score43%
Expected goals1.06 – 1.10
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 15, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.