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Alverca – Sp Braga

Primeira Liga · September 5, 2026

Alverca 1–2 Sp Braga

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Alverca 19% X · 22% 2 · Sp Braga 59%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals0.95 – 1.85
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 5, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.