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Alverca – Sp Lisbon

Primeira Liga · March 22, 2026

Alverca 1–4 Sp Lisbon

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Alverca 8% X · 15% 2 · Sp Lisbon 77%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals0.67 – 2.46
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 22, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.