Arouca – Alverca
Primeira Liga · December 14, 2025
Arouca
1–0
Alverca
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Arouca 43%
X · 25%
2 · Alverca 32%
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams to score | 54% |
| Expected goals | 1.46 – 1.23 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
December 13, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.