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Arouca – Boavista

Primeira Liga · May 17, 2025

Arouca 4–1 Boavista

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Arouca 50% X · 25% 2 · Boavista 25%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals1.48 – 0.96
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 17, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.