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Arouca – Casa Pia

Primeira Liga · May 4, 2025

Arouca 0–0 Casa Pia

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Arouca 43% X · 26% 2 · Casa Pia 31%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals1.31 – 1.05
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 2, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.