Arouca – Casa Pia
Primeira Liga · September 14, 2025
Arouca
0–2
Casa Pia
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Arouca 44%
X · 26%
2 · Casa Pia 30%
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Expected goals | 1.35 – 1.05 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
September 13, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.