Certor

Arouca – Chaves

Primeira Liga · October 1, 2023

Arouca 0–2 Chaves

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Arouca 47% X · 26% 2 · Chaves 27%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.38 – 0.98
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 30, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.