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Arouca – Estoril

Primeira Liga · August 13, 2023

Arouca 4–3 Estoril

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Arouca 42% X · 28% 2 · Estoril 30%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals1.20 – 0.95
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 11, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.