Arouca – Estoril
Primeira Liga · April 6, 2026
Arouca
3–2
Estoril
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Arouca 41%
X · 24%
2 · Estoril 35%
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams to score | 60% |
| Expected goals | 1.58 – 1.43 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
April 3, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.