Arouca – Estrela
Primeira Liga · April 19, 2025
Arouca
1–0
Estrela
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Arouca 52%
X · 26%
2 · Estrela 22%
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| Both teams to score | 43% |
| Expected goals | 1.46 – 0.84 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
April 18, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.