Certor

Arouca – Farense

Primeira Liga · March 30, 2024

Arouca 2–1 Farense

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Arouca 46% X · 25% 2 · Farense 29%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals1.45 – 1.08
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 29, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.