Certor

Arouca – Guimaraes

Primeira Liga · May 18, 2024

Arouca 1–3 Guimaraes

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Arouca 38% X · 26% 2 · Guimaraes 36%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals1.25 – 1.20
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 17, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.