Arouca – Maritimo
Primeira Liga · August 29, 2026
Arouca
2–1
Maritimo
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Arouca 49%
X · 24%
2 · Maritimo 27%
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Expected goals | 1.53 – 1.06 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
August 29, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.