Certor

Arouca – Portimonense

Primeira Liga · August 26, 2023

Arouca 1–1 Portimonense

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Arouca 48% X · 27% 2 · Portimonense 25%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Both teams to score43%
Expected goals1.34 – 0.89
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 25, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.