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Arouca – Porto

Primeira Liga · February 12, 2024

Arouca 3–2 Porto

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Arouca 13% X · 20% 2 · Porto 67%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score41%
Expected goals0.67 – 1.88
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 11, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.