Arouca – Porto
Primeira Liga · September 29, 2025
Arouca
0–4
Porto
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Arouca 13%
X · 19%
2 · Porto 68%
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Expected goals | 0.75 – 2.05 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
September 27, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.