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Arouca – Rio Ave

Primeira Liga · December 10, 2023

Arouca 2–2 Rio Ave

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Arouca 39% X · 28% 2 · Rio Ave 33%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals1.12 – 1.00
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 8, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.