Arouca – Sp Lisbon
Primeira Liga · January 24, 2026
Arouca
1–2
Sp Lisbon
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Arouca 10%
X · 16%
2 · Sp Lisbon 74%
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Expected goals | 0.78 – 2.45 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
January 18, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.