Arsenal – Aston Villa
Premier League · December 30, 2025
Arsenal
4–1
Aston Villa
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Arsenal 61%
X · 23%
2 · Aston Villa 16%
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% |
| Both teams to score | 44% |
| Expected goals | 1.76 – 0.76 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
December 27, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.