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Arsenal – Brighton

Premier League · December 27, 2025

Arsenal 2–1 Brighton

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Arsenal 62% X · 22% 2 · Brighton 16%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.84 – 0.79
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 27, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.