Arsenal – Burnley
Premier League · May 18, 2026
Arsenal
1–0
Burnley
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Arsenal 82%
X · 13%
2 · Burnley 5%
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Both teams to score | 39% |
| Expected goals | 2.69 – 0.53 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
May 17, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.